The autumn opportunity depends on accurate pricing
Last month we predicted an autumn bounce after a slower summer, and the latest data suggest the first signs of this are now emerging.
Buyers are starting to return, but they have plenty of homes to choose from. A steady flow of new listings means there are now 5% more homes for sale than a year ago.
Mortgage rates have stabilised, but remain closer to 5% than 4%, meaning affordability will continue to constrain buyer budgets. With more properties available, buyers can be selective and negotiate more confidently.
For agents, the priority will be helping vendors understand that an increase in searches does not mean every property will attract interest. Homes still need to compete on price, presentation and value.
Agents who have realistic pricing conversations early will be best placed to convert the autumn uplift into instructions and sales. Well-priced homes will continue to attract buyers, while properties priced above local market conditions risk sitting unsold as competition increases.
What this means for agents
This month’s data highlights four priorities:
Re-engage prospective movers: Use the recovery in searches as an opportunity to reconnect with buyers and homeowners considering selling
Lead with local evidence: Show vendors how prices, demand and available stock are changing in their specific market
Address affordability early: Qualify buyers carefully and help sellers understand how higher mortgage costs are influencing offers
Set realistic pricing expectations: Agree an achievable asking price from the outset rather than relying on a later reduction
Buyer interest is returning, but buyers have more choice and less purchasing power than they did at the start of the year. Agents who combine strong local insight with accurate pricing advice will be best placed to turn that interest into transactions.
Outlook
Buyer activity is expected to improve through the autumn as more people return to their moving plans. However, the recovery is likely to be gradual and will depend on mortgage rates remaining stable.
House price growth is expected to remain modest, with northern England, the Midlands and Northern Ireland likely to show greater resilience. London and much of southern England continue to face greater affordability pressures.
The increased supply of homes for sale means buyers will retain greater negotiating power. Agents who use local evidence to guide vendors on price and manage expectations will be best placed to capture returning demand and convert it into sales.